The U.S. Treasury yield curve entered an unprecedented state this week, with one-month yields rising above three-month yields for the first time since the subprime mortgage crisis, due to investors' ...
As debt-ceiling deadlock rattles investors, Treasury yield curve cracks are appearing. The Treasury yield curve shows extreme level of inversion, with a positive spread between 3-month and 30-year ...
The yield curve, which looks at the spread between the 10-year treasury note and the year bill, has been an excellent predictor of coming recessions since 1960, with ...
Ahead of many recessions in US economic history, the yield curve has gone negative - or "inverted." Now that it appears growth could pick back up at the same time the Fed could start cutting rates, we ...
Yesterday's recap mentioned a 'farewell' to low short term rates despite longer term rates 'faring well.' This is a reference to the major changes that have been taking place with the yield curve in ...
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Yield curve inversions happen when short-term interest rates rise above long-term interest rates. Inversions usually convey the bond market’s expectations for an economic slowdown or possible future ...
A version of this article was published in the November 2015 issue of Morningstar ETFInvestor. Download a complimentary copy of ETFInvestor here. Flaw of Averages Duration, by itself, is a crude ...
Every yield curve "situation" has a series of people explaining why the yield curve doesn't matter this time, or arguing over which specific yield curve to care about. See thread and charts below.
The yield curve has flattened and inverted in certain places. The difference between the yields on the 2-year and 10-year Treasury bills briefly inverted this week. Yield curve flattening and ...