Some economists are predicting that US recession risk is rising, and a downturn could arrive before the year is out, but the supporting data to date is still thin. If the central bank does ease ...

With one exception, this monthly indicator has correctly identified more than a half-dozen recessionary bear market bottoms after 1929. Multiple recession-probability indicators, along with the ...

Five recession indicators that were flashing a warning sign about the economy have since retreated. Ned Davis Research said its Recession Probability Model has plunged to 2%, suggesting "minimal odds" ...