Last week we looked at hindsight bias, the tendency to believe that market outcomes were obvious once they’ve already happened. Hindsight makes us feel more in control than we actually are. But when ...

In June 1999, the US Fed began an 11-month rate hiking cycle that took the overnight rate from 4.75 to 6.5% by May 2000. The stock market did not bottom until September 2002, when the S&P reached 688 ...

I once read a book on child rearing where an expert mentioned how behavior in children rotated in six-month cycles. Basically, what he said was that a child who is a ...

The impact of Covid-19 on consumer behavior has been “sweeping and immediate,” a McKinsey and Company study found. To succeed in the “next normal,” organizations must raise the bar for digital ...