The center of a tropical disturbance that flared up in the Gulf began to move across land on Friday, bringing heavy rainfall to parts of northeastern Mexico and South Texas.

Though Erin is not currently forecast to make landfall in the U.S., the East Coast could still get heavy rainfall associated with the storm, along with the northern Leeward Islands, the British Virgin Islands and southern and eastern Puerto Rico. Isolated flash flooding, landslides and mudslides are possible.

Colorado State University experts released their final forecast for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season last week, on Aug. 6.

The likely path of a disturbance, increasingly expected to develop into a cyclone, has encroached on Texas in recent days, National Hurricane Center (NHC) tracker maps show. Officials have warned that the disturbance presents the threat of heavy rain, flooding, and increased rip currents along portions of Texas' coastline.

HOUSTON — A tropical disturbance in the southwestern Gulf now has no chance of developing into a tropical depression but is still expected to send waves of tropical downpours along the Texas coast into Saturday. As of Friday afternoon, the National Hurricane Center is giving this system a 0% chance of development.

Hurricane Erin became the first hurricane of the 2025 Atlantic season on Friday, with sustained winds of 75 mph as it moves toward the Leeward Islands.

As the Gulf disturbance nears Texas, tropical moisture will surge Friday and Saturday in the Houston metro area, leading to increasing storm chances.